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CME Scoreboard: Prediction Detail

Prediction for CME (2022-10-04T14:24:00-CME-001)

CME Observed Time: 2022-10-04T14:24Z
iSWAS Layout URL: https://kauai.ccmc.gsfc.nasa.gov/DONKI/view/CME/21898/-1
CME Note: Visible in the S of SOHO LASCO C2 and STEREO A COR2. Associated with filament eruption centered near S30E05, visible in SDO AIA 304 and STEREO A EUVI 195 beginning 2022-10-04T13:25Z. LASSOS team discussed solar wind signatures on 2022-10-06 and 2022-10-07 and determined that there was no clear CME arrival signature on these dates.
CME was not detected at Earth.
Observed Geomagnetic Storm Parameters due to CME:
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Predicted Arrival Time: 2022-10-07T03:25Z
Confidence that the CME will arrive: 57.29%
Predicted geomagnetic storm max Kp range due to CME: 3.25 - 5.25
Prediction Method: Average of all Methods
Prediction Method Note:

This is the auto generated average of all submitted predictions for this CME

Lead Time: 23.83 hour(s)
Difference: -----
Prediction submitted by Auto Generated (CCMC) on 2022-10-06T03:35Z

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